Q2 2026 Snapshot
Bear Valley's Q2 2026 trailing 12-month data shows a two-speed market — well-priced homes move fast, overpriced or mismatched homes linger, and pricing discipline pays. Median sold $710,000 against a median list of $815,000 produced a 100% median sale-to-list ratio. 35.71% (5 of 14 listings) cleared in 0–30 days at 101.73% SP/LP — bidding over ask — while 28.57% (4 listings) sat past 121 days at 96.23% SP/LP. Median 4 bd / 3 ba / 2,263 SF. We anchor on medians rather than averages — the average sold figure ($672,761) is dragged down by one 8 bd / 9 ba $1.95M original-list outlier that closed at $880K. Across 13 closed sales from 21 listings, total sold volume reached $8,745,900.
Bear Valley has a small transaction pool by nature — only a handful of homes trade each quarter. This means period statistics can shift materially based on a single close. Figures here are directionally accurate but should be interpreted alongside broader Bear Valley-area luxury trends.
35.71% (5 of 14 listings) of Bear Valley homes in the period cleared above asking price at 101.73% sale-to-list — bidding over ask remains a meaningful signal that well-priced inventory is moving quickly in this submarket.
Where the average sold figure ($672,761) is dragged down by a single $1.95M original-list outlier that closed at $880K, Bear Valley's headline statistics anchor on the median rather than the average to keep period figures representative of the homes that actually trade.
Bimodal distribution: 35.71% (5 of 14) of Bear Valley listings cleared in 0–30 days at 101.73% SP/LP (well-priced), while 28.57% (4 listings) sat past 121 days at 96.23% SP/LP (overpriced or mismatched). The QoQ DOM shift (+24 days / +171% QoQ) reflects this tail, not market weakening.
Price Band Breakdown
| Price Range | Activity | Est. Share |
|---|---|---|
| Under $600K | Rare | 8% |
| $600K – $710K | Moderate | 22% |
| $710K – $815K | Most Active | 54% |
| Above $815K | Few | 16% |
Prior Quarters History
| Quarter | Median Price | $/Sqft | DOM | Active Inv | Mo. Supply | L/S Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | $640,000 | $230 | 14 | ~6 | ~1.8 | 98.5% |
| Q2 2026 (current) | $710,000 | $286 | 38 | 201* | 1.45* | 100.0% |
* City-wide proxy (June 2026 MLS report); DOM shift reflects bimodal tail, not market weakening