Q2 2026 Snapshot

Median Sale Price
$710,000
+$70,000 QoQ
Price / Sqft
$286
est.
Median DOM
38
+24 days QoQ
Active Inventory
201*
city-wide proxy
Months Supply
1.45*
city-wide proxy
List-to-Sale
100.0%
est.
QoQ Change (Q1 → Q2 2026)
Median Price+$70,000 (+10.9%)
Median DOM+24 days (+171%)
YoY Change (Q2 2025 → Q2 2026)
Median Price+11.3%*
Avg DOM+216%*
Market Narrative

Bear Valley's Q2 2026 trailing 12-month data shows a two-speed market — well-priced homes move fast, overpriced or mismatched homes linger, and pricing discipline pays. Median sold $710,000 against a median list of $815,000 produced a 100% median sale-to-list ratio. 35.71% (5 of 14 listings) cleared in 0–30 days at 101.73% SP/LP — bidding over ask — while 28.57% (4 listings) sat past 121 days at 96.23% SP/LP. Median 4 bd / 3 ba / 2,263 SF. We anchor on medians rather than averages — the average sold figure ($672,761) is dragged down by one 8 bd / 9 ba $1.95M original-list outlier that closed at $880K. Across 13 closed sales from 21 listings, total sold volume reached $8,745,900.

Data Methodology Note

Bear Valley has a small transaction pool by nature — only a handful of homes trade each quarter. This means period statistics can shift materially based on a single close. Figures here are directionally accurate but should be interpreted alongside broader Bear Valley-area luxury trends.

Over-Ask Share

35.71% (5 of 14 listings) of Bear Valley homes in the period cleared above asking price at 101.73% sale-to-list — bidding over ask remains a meaningful signal that well-priced inventory is moving quickly in this submarket.

Median Anchor Note

Where the average sold figure ($672,761) is dragged down by a single $1.95M original-list outlier that closed at $880K, Bear Valley's headline statistics anchor on the median rather than the average to keep period figures representative of the homes that actually trade.

Bimodal Distribution Note

Bimodal distribution: 35.71% (5 of 14) of Bear Valley listings cleared in 0–30 days at 101.73% SP/LP (well-priced), while 28.57% (4 listings) sat past 121 days at 96.23% SP/LP (overpriced or mismatched). The QoQ DOM shift (+24 days / +171% QoQ) reflects this tail, not market weakening.

Price Band Breakdown

Price Range Activity Est. Share
Under $600K Rare 8%
$600K – $710K Moderate 22%
$710K – $815K Most Active 54%
Above $815K Few 16%

Prior Quarters History

Quarter Median Price $/Sqft DOM Active Inv Mo. Supply L/S Ratio
Q1 2026 $640,000 $230 14 ~6 ~1.8 98.5%
Q2 2026 (current) $710,000 $286 38 201* 1.45* 100.0%

* City-wide proxy (June 2026 MLS report); DOM shift reflects bimodal tail, not market weakening

Median Sale Price — Quarterly History

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